UTILIZATION OF NATURAL GAS TABLE OF CONTENTS Chapter I    Chapter II    Chapter III    ChapterIV   Chapter V Chapter VI   ChapterVII   Chapter VIII Signature Sheet List of Figures    List of Tables    Gazzate List of Annexes Executive Summary      (PDF) PART - I Chapter - I Introduction, Methodology & Scope (PDF) 1.0 Introduction 2.0 Methodology 3.0 Scope Chapter - II Gas Exploration, Production & Consumption (PDF) 4.0 Gas Discoveries and Explorations 5.0 Consumption Background 6.0 Present Consumption and Supply of Gas 7.0 Investment Requirement for Augmenting Gas Production   Chapter - III Supply - Demand and Cash-flow (PDF) 8.0 Impact of Production Sharing Contracts on Petrobangla Cash-flow 9.0 The Production Sharing Contracts 10 Pricing Under Production Sharing Contracts 11 Brief Analysis of Payments under PSCs up to End December 2001 12 Some Important Considerations 13 The Bibiyana Cash Flow 14 Description of Analysis Scenarios 15 Short-term Demand-Supply and Cash-flow Analysis 16 Mid-term Demand-Supply and Cash-flow Analysis   Chapter - IV Domestic Impact of Production Sharing Contracts (PDF) 17 Domestic Impact of Production Sharing Contracts 18 The IOC Gas and The Domestic Price Structure   Chapter - V Socio Economic Aspect of Energy Consumption (PDF) 19 Energy-Development Relationship 20 Consumption Pattern of Energy in Bangladesh 21 Sources of Energy Generation in the Country 22 Non-commercial Sources of Energy 23 The Current Energy Balance 24 Search for Alternative Sources of Energy 25 Cross Border Energy Trade   Chapter - VI Domestic Energy Initiatives (PDF) 26 Introduction 27 CNG 28 GTL   Chapter - VII Non-domestic Energy Initiatives (PDF) 29 Initiatives Analyses 30 Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) 31 Ammonia and Urea Fertilizer 32 Methanol 33 Electricity Export 34 Pipeline Gas Export   Chapter - VIII Conclusion (PDF) >> Colclusion >> A Case for Dynamic Equilibrium >> A Workable Option >> Important Considerations in Case of Gas Export >> Award of More Gas Blocks under PSC >> Remaining Gas Blocks for Petrobangla List of Figures & Graphs Figure-1: >> Gas Production and Consumption in Bangladesh Figure-2: >> Gas Consumption in Power & Fertilizer Sector Figure-3: >> Sectoral Consumption of Gas in Percentage (June 2002) Figure-4: >> Gas Production from Petrobangla & IOC Fields under 5% Growth of Demand Figure-5: >> Gas Production from Petrobangla & IOC Fields under 6% Growth of Demand Figure-6: >> Gas Production from Petrobangla & IOC Fields under 7% Growth of Demand List of Tables Table-1: >> Gas and Oil Fields of Bangladesh Table-2: >> Potential and Discovery Ratios of Different Regions of Bangladesh Table-3: >> Sectoral Breakdown of Average Gas Consumption of 2001-02 Table-4: >> Average Field-wise Daily Production for 2001-02 Table-5: >> Investment Requirement for Additional Supply Table-6: >> Summary Income Statement of Petrobangla Table-7: >> Off-Shore and On-shore Profit Gas Volume Splits Table-8: >> Actual Price Levels for Period Up to December 2001 Table-9: >> IOCs Production During June 1998 to December 2001 Table-10: >> Petrobangla's Purchase of IOC's Share of Gas Table-11: >> Bibiyana Cash Flow Table-12: >> Estimated Cost of Production for IOCs Table-13: >> Short-term (2002-2010) Demand - Supply Scenarios Table-14: >> Mid-term (2002-2020) Demand - Supply Scenarios Table-15: >> Short-term Gas Supply and Cash -flow Table-16: >> Mid-term Demand - Supply Scenario Table-17: >> Gas Production and Cash-flow for Mid-term Scenarios Table-18: >> Financial Involvements for Supplying Full Demand Up to 2020 for Different Demand Growth Scenarios Table-19: >> Share of Gas Under PSCs Till End of April 2002 Table-20: >> Financial Impact for IOC Gas Purchase up to April 2002 Table-21: >> Gas Price Revisions in Bangladesh from 1992 to 2001 (last ten years) Table-22: >> Energy Use Comparison Table-23: >> Comparison of Energy Consumption Table-24: >> Total Energy Intake Pattern (1990) Table-25: >> Supply of Biomass Fuel in Bangladesh in 1981 Table-26: >> National Energy Balance: 1995 Table-27: >> Known Major Exploitable (Indigenous) Commercial Primary Energy Resources Table-28: >> CNG Penetration Scenario Up to 2010 Table-29: >> Brief of Netback Calculation for Urea Fertilizer Table-30: >> Brief Results of the Netback for Power Export Table-31: >> Production Sharing Contracts in Bangladesh PART - II List of Annexes Annex-1: >> Total Gas Production and Utilization from 1961 to 2000 Annex-2: >> Table-A2: Petrobangla Augmentation of Production and Daily Demand Forecast From 2002 to 2020 with 5% Growth Annex-3: >> Petrobangla Augmentation of Production and Daily Demand Forecast From 2002 to 2020 with 6% Growth Table-A3S: Sector-wise Daily Gas Demand Projection 2002-2020 under 6% Annex-4: >> Petrobangla Augmentation of Production and Daily Demand Forecast From 2002 to 2020 with 7% Growth Annex-5: >> Article 14.11 of Sangu PSC and Article 14.7.4 of Jalalabad PSC Annex-6: >> Production and Cash-flow Projection of Bibiyana Annex-7: >> Cash flow under Option-1: Without Petrobangla Augmentation of Production and Daily Demand Forecast by Petrobangla Annex-8: >> Cash flow under Option-2: Without Petrobangla Augmentation of Production and Daily Demand Forecast by LUCAS Annex-9: >> Cash flow under Option-3: With Petrobangla Augmentation of Production and Daily Demand Forecast by Petrobangla Annex-10: >> Cash flow under Option-4: With Petrobangla Augmentation of Production and Daily Demand Forecast by LUCAS Annex-11: >> Cash flow calculation and Assumption for Option 1,2,3 & 4 Annex-12: >> Cash flow under Option: Petrobangla Augmentation of Production and Daily Demand Forecast from 2002 to 2020 under 5% Growth of Demand Annex-13: >> Cash flow under Option: Petrobangla Augmentation of Production and Daily Demand Forecast from 2002 to 2020 under 6% Growth of Demand Annex-14: >> Cash flow under Option: Petrobangla Augmentation of Production and Daily Demand Forecast from 2002 to 2020 under 7% Growth of Demand Annex-15: >> Assumptions Made in Preparing the Cash Flow 2002-20 Annex-16: >> Cost Involvement for Supplying Full Demand up to 2020 under Different Growth Scenarios Annex-17: >> Government Order - Committee Formation & TOR Annex-18: >> Attachment B(1) >> Attachment B(2) >> Attachment B(3) >> Attachment B(4) Annex-19: >> Projected Investment for Increasing Production Capacity Based on NPD Recoverable Reserve Annex-20: >> Some observations of one Committee Members, Dr. M. Tamim, have been annexed to this Report Annex-21: >> Some observations of one Committee Members, Dr. Ijaz Hossain, have been annexed to this Report Annex-22: >> Observations of the Chairman of the Committee, in response to the issues raised in the two letters submitted by the two Committee Members		GAS DEMAND PROJECTIONS AND DETERMINATION OF RECOVERABLE RESERVE & GAS RESOURCE POTENTIAL TABLE OF CONTENTS Chapter I    Chapter II    Chapter III    Chapter IV       Signature Sheet List of Figures List of Tables Gazzate PREFACE         (PDF) EXECUTIVE SUMMARY         (PDF) List of tables & figures         (PDF) ABBREVIATIONS / ACRONYMS         (PDF) REPORTS AND PAPERS MADE AVAILABLE TO THE COMMITTEE        (PDF) List of Contents (PDF) 1. INTRODUCTION 2. ENERGY DEMAND PROJECTION UPTO 2050 (PDF) 2.1 Introduction 2.2 Energy Intensity 2.3 Oil and Gas Consumption in Bangladesh 2.4 Commercial Energy Demand Projection 2.5 Conclusions 2.6 References   3. ASSESSMENT OF RECOVERABLE GAS RESERVE (PDF) 3.1 Introduction 3.2 Review of Past Reports 3.3 Methodology of Reserve Estimates 3.4 Reserve Classification 3.5 Recovery Calculation 3.6 Estimation of Reserves 3.7 Conclusions 3.8 Recommendations 3.9 References   4. GAS RESOURCE ASSESSMENT (PDF) 4.1 Introduction 4.2 Regional Geological Setting and Tectonic Evolution 4.3 Petroleum System and Assessment Units 4.4 Assessment Methodology/Approaches 4.5 Summary of Undiscovered Resource Assessment 4.6 Observations and Comments 4.7 Conclusions 4.8 References List of Tables Table-2.1: >> Energy Intensity of Some Asian Countries in 1995 Table-2.2: >> Historical Oil and Gas Consumption in Bangladesh Table-2.3: >> Energy Database for Demand Projection Table-2.4: >> Projected GNP and Per Capita GNP Values at Different Crowth Rates Table-2.5: >> Summary of the Energy Intensity Models used for the Projections Table-2.6: >> Summary of the Projected Energy Demand Table-2.7: >> Annual Natural Gas Demand Growth Rates Every Ten Years for the 4.55% GDP Growth Rate Under Different Energy Intensity Scenarios SS.II.I-X: >> Spreadsheet II.I to II.X; Projected Energy Demand Table-3.1: >> Estimate 1 for Proved, Probable and Possible GIIP and recoverable gas of Bangladesh Table-3.2: >> Estimate 2 for Proved, Probable and Possible GIIP and recoverable gas of Bangladesh Table-4.1: >> Summary of Undiscovered Gas Resource Assesment by GGAG (1986) Table-4.2: >> Summary of Undiscovered Gas Resource Assesment by USGS World Petroleum Assesment Team, 2000 Table-4.3: >> Summary of Undiscovered Gas Resource Assesment by USGS/ pETROBANGLA, 2001 Table-4.4: >> Summary of Unical's Estimate of Hydrocarbon Resource Base, 2001 Table-4.5: >> Summary of Undiscovered Resource Assesment by HCU / NPD, 2001 List of Figures Figure 1.1 >> Gas Fields of Bangladesh Figure 1.2 >> Well Location of Bangladesh Figure 1.3 >> Hydrocarbon Related Infrastructure Figure 2.1 >> Historical Natural Gas Consumption in Bangladesh from 1981 to 2002 Figure 2.2 >> Historical Oil Consumption in Bangladesh from 1981 to 2001 Figure 2.3 >> Annual Natural Gas Consumption Growth Rates (1981 to 2002) Figure 2.4 >> Gas, Oil and Gas+Oil Consumption in Bangladesh from 1990 to 2000 Figure 2.5 >> Historical Commercial Energy Consumption (1981 to 2000) Figure 2.6 >> GDP in Constant 2000 Taka Figure 2.7 >> Historical Trend and Forecast of Energy Intensity in Bangladesh - Exponential Trend line Figure 2.8 >> Historical Trend and Forecast of Energy Intensity in Bangladesh - Linear Trend line Figure 2.9 >> Energy Intensity Models Figure 2.10 >> Energy Demand Scenario using Energy Intensity Model I Figure 2.11 >> Energy Demand Scenario using Energy Intensity Model II Figure 2.12 >> Energy Demand Scenario using Energy Intensity Model III Figure 2.13 >> Energy Demand Scenario using Energy Intensity Model IV Figure 4.1 >> Regional Tectonic Setting of Bangladesh Figure 4.2 >> Estimates of undiscovered natural gas resources of Bangladesh Figure 4.3 >> Undiscovered Gas Resources of Bangladesh Figure 4.4 >> USGS Assessment Methodology Figure 4.5 >> Simplified diagram emphasizing key steps of the Seventh Approximation assessment procedure for undiscovered conventional resources